This Budget was always going to be a tricky balancing act for Chancellor Rishi Sunak.
After a year of unprecedented public spending, he had to decide how much longer to extend the nation’s safety net against the realisation that the country needs to begin paying back some of the vast national debt it has accrued.
While there were many announcements, largely leaked in advance, he also delayed some big decisions on tax until a future date, preferring instead to instigate a series of consultations on March 23 which are likely to influence the longer-term tax strategy.
Thanks to the Chancellor’s continued stimulus package and a return of consumer spending, the Government is forecasting an increase next year in GDP growth of 7.3% – the highest for 74 years.
This dramatic rebound would follow a 4% increase in GDP during 2021, downgraded from last November’s forecast of 5.4%. Growth is then expected to be more restrained at 1.7% in 2023, 1.6% in 2024 and 1.7% in 2025.
Other key announcements included:
Corporation Tax will increase from the current 19% to 25% in April 2023 on profits above £250,000. The rate will remain at 19% for 1.5million companies whose profits are less than £50,000. One possible option to negate the impact could be to increase company pension contributions.
Inheritance tax thresholds, pensions lifetime allowances and annual capital gains tax exemptions to be frozen at 2020-2021 levels until 2025-26. We have been advising clients more than ever on lifetime allowances in the last year and these freezes further highlight the need to plan and look at ways of protecting pensions.
The Stamp Duty holiday has been extended to the end of June 2021 with no tax on sales of less than £500,000. This relief will then be reduced to the first £250,000 until the end of September before returning to its pre-pandemic level of £125,000 from October.
Tax-free personal allowance to be frozen at £12,570 from April 2021 to 2026. Higher rate income tax threshold to be frozen at £50,270 from April 2021 levels to 2026. The so-called ‘fiscal drag’ is less of an issue as long as inflation rates stay low, but will become an issue for many people if inflation starts to climb. Having said this, The Office for Budget Responsibility, has disclosed that this policy will bring 1.3million more people into paying income tax and one million more into paying at the higher rate.
Furlough extended until the end of September with the Government committing to continuing to pay 80% of the salaries for the hours employees are unable to work.
There was very little regarding our post-Brexit strategy other than confirmation that eight free ports will be created, offering low-tax zones, including one at the Port of Liverpool. This could prove to be an exciting development if, as the Chancellor hopes, it “unlocks billions” in investment, trade and jobs.
Similarly, hopeful is the Government’s new tax “super deduction” policy, running initially for two years and likely to boost businesses in sectors such as manufacturing and construction. Under the scheme, companies investing in qualifying new plant and machinery assets will benefit from a 130 per cent first-year capital allowance.
National Savings & Investments (NC&I), the Government-backed scheme which also offers Premium Bonds, will be offering a new green savings bond, giving all UK savers the opportunity to invest in projects aimed at helping the country become a net-zero economy.
In summary, fears ahead of the Budget of a potential raid on the wealth of middle-class Britons have not been realised, but the burden of tax on individuals will gradually increase over time.
The Chancellor has remained true to the Conservative Party’s manifesto pledge to not increase the rates of Income tax, VAT and National Insurance, but he has signposted the ways in which he will begin the long journey of re-balancing the books in these unprecedented times.
And Finally…
I am delighted to say that the team at Phillip Bates & Co Financial Services have started to hold a small number of face-to-face meetings at our Neston office as the vaccination programme rolls out at pace.
We look forward to this trend continuing over the coming weeks as the social measures wind down and the UK opens up again.
In the meantime, we will continue to ‘meet’ with our clients in the way that best suits them and meets their requirements.
Budget 2021: Our Verdict
/0 Comments/in Uncategorised /by EdwardLambThis Budget was always going to be a tricky balancing act for Chancellor Rishi Sunak.
After a year of unprecedented public spending, he had to decide how much longer to extend the nation’s safety net against the realisation that the country needs to begin paying back some of the vast national debt it has accrued.
While there were many announcements, largely leaked in advance, he also delayed some big decisions on tax until a future date, preferring instead to instigate a series of consultations on March 23 which are likely to influence the longer-term tax strategy.
Thanks to the Chancellor’s continued stimulus package and a return of consumer spending, the Government is forecasting an increase next year in GDP growth of 7.3% – the highest for 74 years.
This dramatic rebound would follow a 4% increase in GDP during 2021, downgraded from last November’s forecast of 5.4%. Growth is then expected to be more restrained at 1.7% in 2023, 1.6% in 2024 and 1.7% in 2025.
Other key announcements included:
Corporation Tax will increase from the current 19% to 25% in April 2023 on profits above £250,000. The rate will remain at 19% for 1.5million companies whose profits are less than £50,000. One possible option to negate the impact could be to increase company pension contributions.
Inheritance tax thresholds, pensions lifetime allowances and annual capital gains tax exemptions to be frozen at 2020-2021 levels until 2025-26. We have been advising clients more than ever on lifetime allowances in the last year and these freezes further highlight the need to plan and look at ways of protecting pensions.
The Stamp Duty holiday has been extended to the end of June 2021 with no tax on sales of less than £500,000. This relief will then be reduced to the first £250,000 until the end of September before returning to its pre-pandemic level of £125,000 from October.
Tax-free personal allowance to be frozen at £12,570 from April 2021 to 2026. Higher rate income tax threshold to be frozen at £50,270 from April 2021 levels to 2026. The so-called ‘fiscal drag’ is less of an issue as long as inflation rates stay low, but will become an issue for many people if inflation starts to climb. Having said this, The Office for Budget Responsibility, has disclosed that this policy will bring 1.3million more people into paying income tax and one million more into paying at the higher rate.
Furlough extended until the end of September with the Government committing to continuing to pay 80% of the salaries for the hours employees are unable to work.
There was very little regarding our post-Brexit strategy other than confirmation that eight free ports will be created, offering low-tax zones, including one at the Port of Liverpool. This could prove to be an exciting development if, as the Chancellor hopes, it “unlocks billions” in investment, trade and jobs.
Similarly, hopeful is the Government’s new tax “super deduction” policy, running initially for two years and likely to boost businesses in sectors such as manufacturing and construction. Under the scheme, companies investing in qualifying new plant and machinery assets will benefit from a 130 per cent first-year capital allowance.
National Savings & Investments (NC&I), the Government-backed scheme which also offers Premium Bonds, will be offering a new green savings bond, giving all UK savers the opportunity to invest in projects aimed at helping the country become a net-zero economy.
In summary, fears ahead of the Budget of a potential raid on the wealth of middle-class Britons have not been realised, but the burden of tax on individuals will gradually increase over time.
The Chancellor has remained true to the Conservative Party’s manifesto pledge to not increase the rates of Income tax, VAT and National Insurance, but he has signposted the ways in which he will begin the long journey of re-balancing the books in these unprecedented times.
And Finally…
I am delighted to say that the team at Phillip Bates & Co Financial Services have started to hold a small number of face-to-face meetings at our Neston office as the vaccination programme rolls out at pace.
We look forward to this trend continuing over the coming weeks as the social measures wind down and the UK opens up again.
In the meantime, we will continue to ‘meet’ with our clients in the way that best suits them and meets their requirements.
Caldy Cricket Club Centenary
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambMany of you will know of my long-time involvement with Caldy Cricket Club.
I am therefore delighted that Phillip Bates & Co Financial Services is able to play an important role in helping the club celebrate its centenary this year.
We are sponsoring a range of commemorative kit, including playing shirts, polo shirts and caps.
The items will all carry a special black and gold badge – to be used only in 2021 in place of the traditional maroon and gold colours.
The commemorative badge has been designed by club member, Pete Hoppins, who is the former senior design director of global football apparel at Nike. He is also the designer of Liverpool FC’s latest kit.
Hoppins delved into Caldy’s history, taking inspiration for his design from some of the club’s old kits and badges.
The Value of Investments
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambThe question I get asked more than most at the moment is: “Why are investment values going up when we are in a pandemic?”
It is a natural question to ask because most people would assume that during a crisis as severe as this one that values would take a hammering.
The reality is somewhat different. Thanks to various quantitative easing policies in the UK and elsewhere and major financial boosts such as President Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus package, a huge wall of money is created.
This wall of money finds its way into assets like shares and property, in turn forcing up values.
Shares have performed particularly well because they are the easiest tradable entity and they would appear to have the best prospects for the near future.
There is, however, a requirement for realism otherwise you simply end up with over valuation and the big risk of inflation with the resulting divide between winners and losers.
Financial ups and downs and volatility are a fact of life – exacerbated by major economic shocks caused by global events like this pandemic.
All of which highlights the critical importance of having a long-term financial plan which is robust enough to withstand the headwinds of the global economy.
The Value of Good Advice
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambHere at Phillip Bates & Co Financial Services, we are normally too busy working on behalf of our clients to shout about our success stories.
However, I am particularly proud of the results we achieved for one client recently and which demonstrates the value of good advice.
I recently saw a client who had been offered the chance to sell his guaranteed annuity for a one-off cash sum. On the face of it, it appeared to be quite a tempting offer.
But on closer examination, it became apparent that it was far from a good deal. Had he chosen to give up his guaranteed annuity, he would have stood to have lost out on 8 x the amount being offered as a lump sum.
Guaranteed annuity rates were very popular in the 1970s and 80s, offering retirees a fixed income for life.
Budget 2021: A Preview
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambChancellor Rishi Sunak will deliver his much-awaited Budget on March 3.
There would appear to be two major priorities for Mr Sunak.
Firstly, the Government has trailed that it intends to put in place a so called ‘endemic recovery plan’ which will entail further significant state spending to help tackle the now serious jobs crisis affecting Britain.
Alongside this, the Chancellor needs to start to signpost the means by which it also intends to recoup some of the vast sums that have already been spent combating the virus.
The need to continue with historic levels of spending from the public purse while, at the same time, starting to claw back money into the Treasury presents Mr Sunak with a tricky balancing act.
My view is that this Budget will start to outline some of ways in which he intends to raise money, but hold back on several measures until a later date.
On the table this time or in the near future will almost certainly be:
It is at times like these that many of our clients benefit from the Phillip Bates & Co Chartered Partnership combining the expertise of our accountancy and financial services businesses.
Together with Phil Bates and our respective teams, we work closely to ensure that clients receive the most considered and comprehensive advice to do with their businesses and their investments.
The Budget will also see a decision as to whether the Stamp Duty holiday will finish at the end of March as planned or be extended for a further period. My expectation is that the Chancellor will wish to see Stamp Duty normality resumed.
While the start of 2021 has continued to see some volatility in the markets, the rapid roll-out of the vaccination programme in the UK and elsewhere is the most positive news since the pandemic began and, hopefully, signals that the road to recovery can now be more clearly defined.
A momentous year draws to a close
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambIt has been a remarkable 12 months and one that no one could have envisaged this time a year ago.
The Covid-19 pandemic has so far seen over 70 million confirmed cases and 1.6 million deaths across 190 countries.
The commencement of the vaccination programme is wonderful news to end the year and offers the world a way out of this terrible crisis over the first part of 2021.
Possibly the most impressive feature of 2020 has been the incredible resilience people displayed in the face of a global pandemic.
A big part of this was how quickly we all adapted to the so called ‘new normal’, a major feature of which was the adoption of technology to enable us to carry on with our business lives and to stay in touch with families and friends.
Some commentators have referred to how the world has leapt forward 10 years in terms of our everyday use of technology during the last momentous few months.
The markets also showed resilience. After the initial panic of March/April, the markets rebounded and values have continued to strengthen throughout the year.
Having said this, the recovery from the biggest economic shock in 300 years will inevitably take some time.
Chancellor Rishi Sunak’s Spending Review at the end of November made plain the size of the fiscal hole the UK faces – £394billion or 19% of GDP which equates to the highest level in peacetime.
The Chancellor has also pledged to spend over £280billion to help get the country through Covid-19.
What did come as some surprise was his decision to delay until next Spring’s Budget any announcements regarding how he expects to address the vast deficit.
It is likely, the Chancellor will want to try his best to avoid any increases in income tax, VAT or national insurance.
That leaves the possibility of an increase in Capital Gains Tax, a cut to tax reliefs, the implementation of a wealth tax, and/or a rise in inheritance tax by scrapping or altering the Residential Property Nil-Rate Band.
There is also the question of what will happen to the housing market in 2021. The Government artificially boosted people’s appetite to buy and sell by reducing rates through his so called ‘Stamp Duty Holiday’. This runs until the end of March after which there are inevitably concerns that prices will start to turn downwards.
The sense of volatility will be further fuelled by the fallout from Brexit. Whether we leave with ‘No Deal’ and revert to WTO terms or Prime Minister Boris Johnson ekes out a deal during the next few days, we are entering a brave new world.
Meanwhile, January will also see the inauguration of Joe Biden as the 46th President of the United States after the tumultuous Trump years. We await with interest the reaction of the markets to the changing of the guard and the policies Biden puts forward in his first 100 days in office.
All of which brings me back to the importance of a long-term, balanced financial plan that is capable of weathering the inevitable storms – including a global pandemic.
It has been heartening to hear from so many clients who have appreciated this approach more than ever and the reassurance you say this has given many of you during these unprecedented times.
On behalf of all of the team at Phillip Bates & Co Financial Services, I would like to take this opportunity to thank you for being such valued clients and to wish you and your loved ones our very best wishes for Christmas and the New Year.
We also hope that it will not be too long before we can properly meet up again!
Business as usual at Bates & Co
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambThis month marks the 22nd birthday of Phillip Bates & Co Financial Services.
While we won’t be able to celebrate as we might normally, we continue to strive to provide clients with the same high standard of service.
Despite a further Government lockdown, our intention is very much to return to our office as soon as it is safe and feasible to do so. We know this is something the team are keen to do at the appropriate time.
Until then, we continue to be available to ‘meet’ with clients to suit their requirements, whether that is face-to-face, by phone or in a virtual setting!
No Budget in November
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambAs many of you will have heard, the Chancellor has confirmed that there will no longer be a Budget this month or a multi-year Spending Review.
Instead, Rishi Sunak will deliver a one-year review on November 25 with a focus on how the Government is going to continue meeting the challenges of Covid-19 and the need to continue protecting jobs and businesses.
Investors keen on ESG
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambThe term ‘Environmental, Social and Governance’ or ‘ESG’ is something that is coming up increasingly in conversations with clients.
It covers a wide range of factors that influence an investor’s decision as to whether to invest in a company.
Factors could include a company’s labour practices, product safety, treatment of animals and energy usage.
For a growing number of clients, ESG is something they want us to consider for them to ensure that the companies they invest in are in line with their own values. It is also something that financial regulators are paying greater attention to.
For the team at Phillip Bates & Co, it means adding an extra layer to our already rigorous due diligence processes.
But, from the trend we are seeing, ESG is only likely to become more mainstream over the coming months and years.
What does Lockdown 2 mean for the UK markets?
/0 Comments/in News /by EdwardLambThe Government’s decision to extend the full furlough through to the end of March 2021 and the Bank of England’s additional £150billion in quantitative easing (to spur spending and investment) surprised many commentators.
It followed the announcement by Prime Minister Boris Johnson that England would enter a second national lockdown during the month of November to help combat the surge in Covid-19 cases with the resulting impact on the NHS.
Chancellor Rishi Sunak has reacted to ensure that as many businesses and jobs as possible can be protected in the face of the continuing struggle with the pandemic.
While some businesses and many thousands of jobs have, unfortunately, been lost this year, the damage is not so far as bad as many forecasters thought it might be.
Undoubtedly, the many billions of pounds of support provided by the Government has helped to prevent companies from pulling the plug.
There is, however, serious concern in some of the sectors worst hit – such as bricks and mortar retail and hospitality – that there is a need to start trading again when the current lockdown ends so that the peak Christmas season is not lost in its entirety.
The hope remains that a vaccine for the virus is ready for mass use sooner rather than later, something that received a spur this week with the exciting news that preliminary analysis by Pfizer had indicated that its vaccine was 90% effective. Pfizer’s own shares immediately leapt by 14% and the FTSE100 by 5%.
While it is unlikely to be the ‘silver bullet’ that will see the markets soar to pre-Coronavirus levels, it is likely to support the gradual recovery as confidence returns in the UK and globally.
Further, prolonged delays lasting deep into next year are likely to lead to longer-term structural problems in the world’s economy, something everyone is keen to avoid.
As things stand, client portfolios have continued to hold up well, emphasising once again the importance of long-term, diversified, balanced financial plans with a global outlook. It is about the power of planning rather than reacting to individual events.